• tlivingstonblog

A Major Market Bottom May Be In

After a deep shakeout on Monday, September 20, 2021, the market reversed off its’ lows and closed near the upper part of its’ range on Friday. This type of action is very constructive as it shakes out weak hands and excessive bullishness. There is a strong possibility that a major market bottom may be in. Let's take a look at a few of the factors that contribute to a bullish market environment.


Sentiment


Sentiment got really bearish on Monday. People just can't believe the market can possibly head higher here. However, the market always seems to fool the majority, and there was an increase in put buying Monday which is a positive for bulls.




Action Of Leading Stocks


As the market dove on Monday, I noticed that I was not stopped out of core positions in my portfolio such as NVDA, PLTR, ZIM, and TSLA. These stocks found support at logical price levels which is a very bullish sign. As I noted last month, strength has been building beneath the surface for several growth stocks. Many of these leading stocks are forming very large bases and look like they have potential for strong rallies over the next few months. Take Tesla as an example, which has been building a huge base throughout 2021. TSLA continued to impress on Friday, and I added to my position as it broke out on volume. I also bought SNAP as it cleared resistance with volume coming in. I’m also seeing some really fantastic setups in MRNA and SQ which lead me to believe growth is poised for a strong fall. When I look at charts that exhibit this type of action, I can only come to one conclusion: "It's a bull market, you know!"










Index Action


We saw some great action on the Russell 2000, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq Composite this week. I always love to see the indexes hammer off the lows on volume and end the week near the high of the range. Remember, the close is much more important than what happens earlier in the week. It is also important to note that FFTY closed at a new weekly high. This is along with the strong volume action on the Russell 2000 is an excellent sign for growth traders.





Don't Fight The Fed


Most importantly, the market continues to like the current FED policy. I always make a point to “never fight the FED.” They are too powerful and can keep uptrends going far longer than anyone can imagine. The FED is still “easy” here which provides a huge wind at the backs of traders.


Seasonality


Finally, we are approaching the fourth quarter which is usually the strongest period of the year for the stock market. While this is by no means a stand alone indicator, it’s a great icing on what looks to be a bullish cake.


Risk right. Sit tight.

-Tom


Full Disclosure: I currently own NVDA, TSLA, PLTR, SNAP, and ZIM. Disclaimer: This information is issued solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. None of the information contained in this post constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. From time to time, the content creator or its affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in this blog or the associated Twitter and Instagram feeds. The stock or stocks presented are not to be considered a recommendation to buy any stock or stocks. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives. Investors should consult their own financial or investment adviser before trading or acting upon any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results.


  • bases

  • bullish